Is Ghafurov safe?
Tajikistan · Asia · data updated 2026-09-04
Ghafurov is a city in Tajikistan, home to about 184k people, and one of 6,168 cities worldwide ranked on this site from published safety data. It currently ranks 4,001 of 6,168, with a safety score of 64.5 out of 100, placing it clearly above the global midpoint.
Emergency Ambulance 03 (103 from mobile phone) · Fire 01 (101 from mobile phone) · Police 02 (102 from mobile phone)
Deadliest recorded locations nearby
- Ovchi-Kalacha Bobojon district in the Gafur region12 deaths · 1 event
- Chorkishlok town10 deaths · 1 event
- Bridge at the entrance to Chorbog village, on the road linking the regional capital of Isfara to Chorkuh10 deaths · 1 event
UCDP-recorded organized-violence deaths within 100 km of Ghafurov, 2022-2024, at the locations the source itself names. Conflict deaths, not street crime.
How safe is Ghafurov really?
No published homicide figure exists for Ghafurov itself, so the national rate stands in: Tajikistan recorded 0.9 homicides per 100,000 people in 2020 - well below the global city median. The city itself may be safer or more dangerous than its country's average. Tajikistan's income inequality is middling (Gini 36.1) - in this dataset inequality predicts city violence better than any other structural factor, so this neither raises nor lowers the picture much.
Ghafurov also carries some conflict exposure: UCDP recorded 118 deaths from organized violence within 100 km across 50 events in 2022-2024 - a factor crime statistics alone would miss. The deadliest recorded locations in that radius were Ovchi-Kalacha Bobojon district in the Gafur region (12 deaths), Chorkishlok town (10 deaths), Bridge at the entrance to Chorbog village, on the road linking the regional capital of Isfara to Chorkuh (10 deaths).
What the travel advisories say
The US State Department currently rates Tajikistan at level 1 of 4 - "Exercise normal precautions" (updated 2025-05-15). The UK Foreign Office publishes travel advice for Tajikistan without any avoid-travel warning in force. Both advisories are country-level: no official source publishes verified neighborhood-level crime guidance for individual cities, which is why this page reports named areas only where an official source names them.
What to watch out for in Tajikistan
Terrorism in Tajikistan · Political situation · Bank card fraud · Drink spiking and sexual assault · Intimidation at Dushanbe International Airport · Ramadan · Personal ID · Alcohol laws and bans · Smoking ban · Illegal drugs and prison sentences · Woman travelling alone · Using cameras in secure areas · Drones · LGBT+ travellers · +14 more
Topic headings from the official UK FCDO travel advice for Tajikistan — country-level, not specific to Ghafurov. Read what each one says →
The numbers
- Homicide rate
- 0.9 /100knational rate, 2020
- Conflict deaths
- 118within 100 km, 2022-2024 (UCDP)
- Income inequality
- Gini 36.1country, 2024
- Human development
- HDI 0.691country, 2023
- Income
- $8,240/yrGNI per capita PPP · context only, not scored
- Population
- 184kurban centre · 4,178/km²
Country context for travelers
- Road deaths
- 15.7 /100kWHO, 2019 · often the biggest real travel risk
- Political stability
- 61/100World Bank WGI, 2024 · higher = more stable
- Rule of law
- 37/100World Bank WGI, 2024 · police and courts reliability
- Corruption perceptions
- 19/100Transparency International, 2025 · higher = cleaner
- Natural-hazard risk
- 4.3/10EU INFORM, 2026 · higher = riskier
- Women, Peace & Security
- 0.69Georgetown WPS Index, 2025 · 0-1, higher = better
- Air quality
- 33.3 µg/m³PM2.5 annual mean, 2023 · WHO guideline is 5
- Safely managed drinking water
- 65%of the population, 2024 · WHO/UNICEF JMP
- Healthcare capacity
- 1.9 doctors /1k4.0 hospital beds per 1,000
- Malaria
- 0 /1k at riskWHO, 2024 · listed for endemic countries only
Natural hazards in Tajikistan
- Earthquake
- 8.1/10EU INFORM, 2026 · higher = riskier
- Drought
- 7.6/10EU INFORM, 2026 · higher = riskier
- Flood
- 6.6/10EU INFORM, 2026 · higher = riskier
Hazard types scoring under 1 out of 10 are not listed. These describe Tajikistan as a whole, not Ghafurov specifically.
Same-sex sexual activity is legal in Tajikistan (as of 2025).
All country-level figures shared by every city in Tajikistan; none of them affect the safety score.
How the score works
One fixed, calibrated mix for every city: 40% homicide · 25% peace · 25% equality · 10% HDI. Homicide and conflict deaths are measured outcomes; income inequality carries the structural share because it predicts real city violence far better than national income (which is shown above but scored at zero). Each factor maps to 0-100 against fixed anchors, missing data drops out and is never estimated, and cities with data behind less than half the weighting get “no data” instead of a score. For Ghafurov that gives 64.5/100. Full methodology, anchors and sources →
Ghafurov compared with Tashkent
| Measure | Ghafurov | Tashkent | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safety score | 64.5 | 76.7 | −12.2 — better for Tashkent |
| Homicide ratecity-measured where published, otherwise the national rate | 0.9 /100k | 1.4 /100k | −0.5 /100k — better for Ghafurov |
| Conflict deaths within 100 km | 118 | 0 | +118 — better for Tashkent |
| Income inequality (Gini) | 36.1 | 32.7 | +3.4 — better for Tashkent |
| Human development (HDI) | 0.691 | 0.740 | −0.049 — better for Tashkent |
| Road deaths | 15.7 /100k | 11.7 /100k | +4.0 /100k — better for Tashkent |
| Rule of law | 37/100 | 46/100 | −9/100 — better for Tashkent |
| Corruption perceptions | 19/100 | 31/100 | −12/100 — better for Tashkent |
| Air quality (PM2.5) | 33.3 µg/m³ | 32.8 µg/m³ | +0.5 µg/m³ — better for Tashkent |
| Natural-hazard risk | 4.3/10 | 3.2/10 | +1.1/10 — better for Tashkent |
Differences are plain arithmetic between the two stored figures — nothing is modelled. Country-level rows describe the two countries, not the cities themselves. Full report for Tashkent →
Nearby cities
- Khujand 64.5
- Gulistan, Uzbekistan 67.8
- Qoqand, Uzbekistan 63.6
- Tashkent, Uzbekistan 76.7
- Ibrat, Uzbekistan 63.6
- Rishtan, Uzbekistan 63.6
- Oltiariq, Uzbekistan 64.3
- Chust, Uzbekistan 76.7
See Ghafurov on the interactive map → · Safest cities in Asia → · Full travel briefings →