World Safety Map

Is Ghafurov safe?

Tajikistan · Asia · data updated 2026-09-04

64.5High · rank 4001 / 6,168
safer than 35% of ranked cities

Ghafurov is a city in Tajikistan, home to about 184k people, and one of 6,168 cities worldwide ranked on this site from published safety data. It currently ranks 4,001 of 6,168, with a safety score of 64.5 out of 100, placing it clearly above the global midpoint.

Emergency Ambulance 03 (103 from mobile phone) · Fire 01 (101 from mobile phone) · Police 02 (102 from mobile phone)

Deadliest recorded locations nearby

  • Ovchi-Kalacha Bobojon district in the Gafur region12 deaths · 1 event
  • Chorkishlok town10 deaths · 1 event
  • Bridge at the entrance to Chorbog village, on the road linking the regional capital of Isfara to Chorkuh10 deaths · 1 event

UCDP-recorded organized-violence deaths within 100 km of Ghafurov, 2022-2024, at the locations the source itself names. Conflict deaths, not street crime.

How safe is Ghafurov really?

No published homicide figure exists for Ghafurov itself, so the national rate stands in: Tajikistan recorded 0.9 homicides per 100,000 people in 2020 - well below the global city median. The city itself may be safer or more dangerous than its country's average. Tajikistan's income inequality is middling (Gini 36.1) - in this dataset inequality predicts city violence better than any other structural factor, so this neither raises nor lowers the picture much.

Ghafurov also carries some conflict exposure: UCDP recorded 118 deaths from organized violence within 100 km across 50 events in 2022-2024 - a factor crime statistics alone would miss. The deadliest recorded locations in that radius were Ovchi-Kalacha Bobojon district in the Gafur region (12 deaths), Chorkishlok town (10 deaths), Bridge at the entrance to Chorbog village, on the road linking the regional capital of Isfara to Chorkuh (10 deaths).

What the travel advisories say

The US State Department currently rates Tajikistan at level 1 of 4 - "Exercise normal precautions" (updated 2025-05-15). The UK Foreign Office publishes travel advice for Tajikistan without any avoid-travel warning in force. Both advisories are country-level: no official source publishes verified neighborhood-level crime guidance for individual cities, which is why this page reports named areas only where an official source names them.

What to watch out for in Tajikistan

Terrorism in Tajikistan · Political situation · Bank card fraud · Drink spiking and sexual assault · Intimidation at Dushanbe International Airport · Ramadan · Personal ID · Alcohol laws and bans · Smoking ban · Illegal drugs and prison sentences · Woman travelling alone · Using cameras in secure areas · Drones · LGBT+ travellers · +14 more

Topic headings from the official UK FCDO travel advice for Tajikistan — country-level, not specific to Ghafurov. Read what each one says →

The numbers

Homicide rate
0.9 /100knational rate, 2020
Conflict deaths
118within 100 km, 2022-2024 (UCDP)
Income inequality
Gini 36.1country, 2024
Human development
HDI 0.691country, 2023
Income
$8,240/yrGNI per capita PPP · context only, not scored
Population
184kurban centre · 4,178/km²

Country context for travelers

Road deaths
15.7 /100kWHO, 2019 · often the biggest real travel risk
Political stability
61/100World Bank WGI, 2024 · higher = more stable
Rule of law
37/100World Bank WGI, 2024 · police and courts reliability
Corruption perceptions
19/100Transparency International, 2025 · higher = cleaner
Natural-hazard risk
4.3/10EU INFORM, 2026 · higher = riskier
Women, Peace & Security
0.69Georgetown WPS Index, 2025 · 0-1, higher = better
Air quality
33.3 µg/m³PM2.5 annual mean, 2023 · WHO guideline is 5
Safely managed drinking water
65%of the population, 2024 · WHO/UNICEF JMP
Healthcare capacity
1.9 doctors /1k4.0 hospital beds per 1,000
Malaria
0 /1k at riskWHO, 2024 · listed for endemic countries only

Natural hazards in Tajikistan

Earthquake
8.1/10EU INFORM, 2026 · higher = riskier
Drought
7.6/10EU INFORM, 2026 · higher = riskier
Flood
6.6/10EU INFORM, 2026 · higher = riskier

Hazard types scoring under 1 out of 10 are not listed. These describe Tajikistan as a whole, not Ghafurov specifically.

Same-sex sexual activity is legal in Tajikistan (as of 2025).

All country-level figures shared by every city in Tajikistan; none of them affect the safety score.

How the score works

Low homicide40%74
Peace25%48
Equality25%64
Development10%69

One fixed, calibrated mix for every city: 40% homicide · 25% peace · 25% equality · 10% HDI. Homicide and conflict deaths are measured outcomes; income inequality carries the structural share because it predicts real city violence far better than national income (which is shown above but scored at zero). Each factor maps to 0-100 against fixed anchors, missing data drops out and is never estimated, and cities with data behind less than half the weighting get “no data” instead of a score. For Ghafurov that gives 64.5/100. Full methodology, anchors and sources →

Ghafurov compared with Tashkent

The nearest ranked city of comparable size. Green favours Ghafurov, red favours Tashkent.
MeasureGhafurovTashkentDifference
Safety score64.576.7−12.2 — better for Tashkent
Homicide ratecity-measured where published, otherwise the national rate0.9 /100k1.4 /100k−0.5 /100k — better for Ghafurov
Conflict deaths within 100 km1180+118 — better for Tashkent
Income inequality (Gini)36.132.7+3.4 — better for Tashkent
Human development (HDI)0.6910.740−0.049 — better for Tashkent
Road deaths15.7 /100k11.7 /100k+4.0 /100k — better for Tashkent
Rule of law37/10046/100−9/100 — better for Tashkent
Corruption perceptions19/10031/100−12/100 — better for Tashkent
Air quality (PM2.5)33.3 µg/m³32.8 µg/m³+0.5 µg/m³ — better for Tashkent
Natural-hazard risk4.3/103.2/10+1.1/10 — better for Tashkent

Differences are plain arithmetic between the two stored figures — nothing is modelled. Country-level rows describe the two countries, not the cities themselves. Full report for Tashkent

Nearby cities

See Ghafurov on the interactive map → · Safest cities in Asia · Full travel briefings →